Bitcoin’s Consolidation Phase is About to Break Records, But It May Not Last Long

Bitcoinist July 18, 2020
Updated 2020/07/18 at 11:50 AM
4 Min Read
  • Bitcoin’s intense multi-month consolidation phase is currently approaching record territory
  • Throughout the past several years, BTC has seen multiple consolidation phases in which its price fails to post any movements greater than 5% for an extended period
  • That being said, in just a few days the crypto will have set its most prolonged bout of compressed trading seen in several years
  • In the past, all these bouts of lackluster trading have been followed by large movements
  • Rising OI and sidelines investors ready to flood back into positions could help trigger the next big movement

Bitcoin’s consolidation phase has been narrowing as of late, with buyers and sellers now holding the crypto between a tiny $200 range. The lower boundary of this channel sits around $9,100, and the upper boundary sits at $9,300.

The cryptocurrency’s consolidation bout has now persisted for over three months, and it remains unclear as to when it may end.

The narrowing range that it has been caught within may be a positive sign for bored traders, as history shows that trading channels this narrow virtually always resolve with an explosive movement.

Bitcoin’s Sideways Trading is About to Enter Record-Breaking Territory

Throughout the past few months, Bitcoin has been trading between $9,000 and $10,000.

At the beginning of this consolidation phase, the cryptocurrency ventured above and below these boundaries on a few occasions, but each one proved to be fleeting.

This range has been narrowing over the past several weeks, causing Bitcoin’s volatility to hit historic lows as its trading volume begins bleeding out.

It appears that active investors are awaiting trend-confirmation before they jump back into the market.
It’s important to note that there are only a few occasions throughout the past several years in which Bitcoin has traded within a range as narrow as the one it is currently within.

One data analyst spoke about this in a recent tweet, explaining that BTC hasn’t posted a 5% daily move for 24 straight days.

In April of 2019, it saw a 27-day trend of consolidation this narrow, and in November of 2018, it saw a 29-day streak.

“BTC hasn’t had a 5% daily move for 24 straight days. That’s the longest since a 27 day streak that ended on Apr 1, 2019. 1 month return after that was +31%. The longest streak before that was 29 days which ended on Nov 13, 2018. 1 month return after that was -48%,” he explained.

Rising Open Interest Could Put an End to this Consolidation

After a long period of being dormant, traders are beginning to open up positions on Bitcoin again.
This is seen while looking towards the recent rise that Bitcoin’s open interest has seen. It just set a multi-month high.

Image Courtesy of Byzantine General. Chart via Coinalyze.

This could mean that the cryptocurrency is about to see heightened trading volume, which could, in turn, lead to higher volatility.

Featured image from Shutterstock.
Pricing data from TradingView.

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